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What growth is priced into QCOM? A reverse DCF

QUALCOMM INC/DE · $156.75 · as of 2026-11-06

REVENUE GROWTH THE PRICE IMPLIES
17.6% /yr · 5 years

If QCOM's revenue grows 17.6% a year for five years, then slows over years 6–10, at today's 15.4% operating margin, its value discounted at 9% equals today's price.

Last reported year-on-year revenue growth: -8.4%

How often companies this size have done it

Of US-listed companies with $10B–$50B of revenue in 2019, 4.3% grew revenue 17.6% a year or more over the next 5 years (258 companies, SEC filings).

Half of companies this size grew less than 4.3% a year. Only companies still filing are counted and acquisitions count as growth, so the true rate is likely lower.

The discount rate is a choice, not a measurement

The headline uses the 10-year Treasury (4%) plus 5%. Require a different return, and the growth the price implies changes:

Discount rate 8%12.5%/yr
Discount rate 9%17.6%/yr← headline
Discount rate 10%22.4%/yr

What went in

Revenue, trailing 12 months$43.12Bfilings
Operating margin15.4%filings
Shares1.07Bfilings
Net debt$8.31Bfilings
Tax rate21%filings
Sales to capital2×default
Change the assumptions yourself →Value QCOM on your own assumptions

This page describes what today's price is consistent with. It does not say whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not investment advice. TreasureX is educational software.

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