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What growth is priced into TSLA? A reverse DCF

Tesla, Inc. · $343.69 · as of 2026-11-06

REVENUE GROWTH THE PRICE IMPLIES
>100% /yr · 5 years

If TSLA's revenue grows at this rate a year for five years, then slows over years 6–10, at today's 5.4% operating margin, its value discounted at 9% equals today's price.

Last reported year-on-year revenue growth: -0.2%

The discount rate is a choice, not a measurement

The headline uses the 10-year Treasury (4%) plus 5%. Require a different return, and the growth the price implies changes:

Discount rate 8%>100%
Discount rate 9%>100%← headline
Discount rate 10%>100%

What went in

Revenue, trailing 12 months$103.57Bfilings
Operating margin5.4%filings
Shares3.953Bfilings
Net debt$-29Bfilings
Tax rate21%filings
Sales to capital1.5×default
Change the assumptions yourself →Value TSLA on your own assumptions

This page describes what today's price is consistent with. It does not say whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not investment advice. TreasureX is educational software.

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