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What growth is priced into WMT? A reverse DCF

Walmart Inc. · $127.72 · as of 2026-11-06

REVENUE GROWTH THE PRICE IMPLIES
>100% /yr · 5 years

If WMT's revenue grows at this rate a year for five years, then slows over years 6–10, at today's 3.5% operating margin, its value discounted at 9% equals today's price.

Last reported year-on-year revenue growth: 5.9%

The discount rate is a choice, not a measurement

The headline uses the 10-year Treasury (4%) plus 5%. Require a different return, and the growth the price implies changes:

Discount rate 8%>100%
Discount rate 9%>100%← headline
Discount rate 10%>100%

What went in

Revenue, trailing 12 months$735.84Bfilings
Operating margin3.5%filings
Shares7.958Bfilings
Net debt$63.56Bfilings
Tax rate21%filings
Sales to capital1.5×default
Change the assumptions yourself →Value WMT on your own assumptions

This page describes what today's price is consistent with. It does not say whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not investment advice. TreasureX is educational software.

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