Liquidity Rules Push Lending Into Private Credit
Sebastian Doerr, Gaston Gelos, Vesa Pursiainen · October 20, 2026
New research from the Bank for International Settlements examines how tighter bank liquidity rules reshape where credit actually flows. The authors focus on the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR), a post-crisis requirement that forces banks to hold enough easy-to-sell assets to survive a short run on deposits. Using U.S. county-level data, they compare areas where LCR-bound banks had a big local presence with areas where they had little.
The finding: after the LCR took effect, private credit expanded notably faster in counties dominated by banks subject to the rule — and even faster where those banks started with bigger liquidity shortfalls and therefore had to adjust most. In other words, when regulated banks pulled back or repriced certain loans, non-bank lenders stepped into the gap.
Why it matters: liquidity regulation is usually discussed as a safety tool, but this work shows it also quietly redraws the map of who provides credit. For investors, that means tighter bank rules can be a tailwind for private credit funds, direct lenders and asset managers that compete with banks, while borrowers may face different pricing and terms. It also raises a supervisory question: risk migrating outside the banking system is harder to see and to backstop.
Attribution: based on research published by the Bank for International Settlements (https://www.bis.org/publications/bank-liquidity-regulation-and-growth-private-credit).
Educational content only, generated with AI assistance from public research abstracts. Not investment advice.