RISK ASSESSMENT
HIGTrading above a mechanical base-case DCF estimate of $1209.31 (default assumptions) — priced for continued strong execution.
LOWDebt/equity of 0.19 — conservative balance sheet.
LOWRevenue growing 21% YoY — steady, unspectacular growth.
🐂 BULL
ASML shows revenue grew +21.3% YoY, 37% operating margin, 54% ROE, a healthy 24% free cash flow margin — a business converting growth into real profit.
🐻 BEAR
At a P/E of 61.4, the stock is priced for continued execution — any deceleration in growth or margin compression would likely pressure the multiple.