$GS GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC — DCF Fair Value, Health Score & Thesis | TreasureX
$GS$868.95 ▼6.4%
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
WHAT THEY DO
Goldman Sachs is a global investment bank that earns fees from advising on mergers and acquisitions, underwriting stock and bond offerings, trading securities and managing money for institutions and wealthy individuals. It also runs a consumer and wealth platform including Marcus deposits and credit cards.
💎 CONVERGENCE PLAY — in 2 themes
Capital Markets RecoveryWealth ManagementAI in Finance
PRICE
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REVENUE MIX
Global Banking & Markets62%
Asset & Wealth Management28%
Platform Solutions10%
COST
Compensation & Benefits33%
Non-Compensation Expenses29%
Op Margin38%
FINANCIAL HEALTH
Reported through Sep 30, 2026
Figures are trailing twelve months (TTM) unless marked otherwise.
Forward P/E is lower than trailing — earnings are expected to grow into the price.
CAPEX & R&D — LAST 0 FISCAL YEARS (SEC FILINGS)
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TAM
SIZE
$450B by 2030
CAGR
6%
Global investment banking and asset management fee pools are large but mature, growing roughly in line with global GDP plus capital markets activity. Share gains in wealth management and private markets are the main structural growth vectors.
RISK ASSESSMENT
HIGRevenue is highly cyclical and tied to capital markets activity; a downturn in M&A or trading volumes could sharply cut earnings.
MEDRegulatory capital requirements (Basel III endgame) could constrain buybacks and return on equity.
LOWReputational and litigation risk from trading and advisory activities.
🐂 BULL
Goldman is a premier franchise with 18% ROE trading at just 12.9x earnings and 2.4x book, leaving room for multiple expansion as capital markets activity recovers and wealth management scales.
🐻 BEAR
Earnings are cyclical and heavily dependent on deal and trading volumes; a market downturn or tougher capital rules could compress returns and stall the re-rating.
EARNINGS
EPS · Q3 2026
Beat ✓
REVENUE
Beat ✓
MANAGEMENT TONE
BearishBullish
🔗 IMPACT ON YOUR THESIS
Capital markets recovery drives IB and trading revenue
Watch→On Track
Strong advisory and underwriting fees confirmed recovery
AI-powered data, computed by TreasureX · May contain inaccuracies
⚠️
All values, scores, and figures here are computed from your own assumptions and public data, for educational purposes only. This is not investment advice — TreasureX does not recommend buying or selling any security. Results change with your inputs. Please do your own research and use your own judgement before making any investment decision.