$JPM JPMORGAN CHASE & CO — DCF Fair Value, Health Score & Thesis | TreasureX
$JPM$337.34 ▼4.2%
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
WHAT THEY DO
JPMorgan Chase is the largest US bank, earning money from net interest income on loans and securities plus fees from investment banking, trading, card, and asset/wealth management. It serves consumers, small businesses, corporations, and institutional investors across four segments.
💎 CONVERGENCE PLAY — in 2 themes
US Banking ConsolidationCapital Markets RecoveryRate Normalization
PRICE
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REVENUE MIX
Consumer & Community Banking40%
Corporate & Investment Bank35%
Asset & Wealth Management14%
Commercial & Investment Bank (Commercial)11%
COST
Noninterest Expense55%
Provision for Credit Losses6%
Op Margin43%
FINANCIAL HEALTH
Reported through Sep 30, 2026
Figures are trailing twelve months (TTM) unless marked otherwise.
Forward P/E is lower than trailing — earnings are expected to grow into the price.
CAPEX & R&D — LAST 0 FISCAL YEARS (SEC FILINGS)
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TAM
SIZE
$1.5T US banking revenue pool
CAGR
4%
US banking revenue pools grow roughly in line with nominal GDP, with faster growth in wealth and payments. JPM's scale lets it take share in trading, cards, and investment banking while expanding internationally.
RISK ASSESSMENT
HIGCredit cycle deterioration: rising consumer and commercial loan losses could force higher provisions and compress earnings.
MEDRegulatory capital tightening (Basel III endgame, stress capital buffer) could constrain buybacks and ROTCE.
LOWDeposit competition and rate cuts could pressure net interest income.
🐂 BULL
Fortress balance sheet, 18% ROE, and dominant share across trading, cards, and investment banking support mid-teens earnings growth and steady capital returns.
🐻 BEAR
At 2.6x book and 14x earnings, JPM is priced for continued best-in-class execution; a credit downturn or capital rule tightening could compress returns and multiples.
EARNINGS
EPS · Q3 2026
Beat ✓
REVENUE
Beat ✓
MANAGEMENT TONE
BearishBullish
🔗 IMPACT ON YOUR THESIS
Scale advantage drives share gains in trading and investment banking
On Track→On Track
Markets and advisory revenue beat expectations
Credit costs remain benign
Watch→Watch
Provisions ticked up modestly in cards; still manageable
AI-powered data, computed by TreasureX · May contain inaccuracies
⚠️
All values, scores, and figures here are computed from your own assumptions and public data, for educational purposes only. This is not investment advice — TreasureX does not recommend buying or selling any security. Results change with your inputs. Please do your own research and use your own judgement before making any investment decision.