$KO COCA COLA CO — DCF Fair Value, Health Score & Thesis | TreasureX
$KO$96.01 ▲0.3%
The Coca-Cola Company
WHAT THEY DO
Coca-Cola sells non-alcoholic beverages worldwide — sparkling soft drinks (Coke, Sprite, Fanta), water, sports drinks, juice, dairy, plant-based drinks and coffee/tea — mostly by selling concentrate and finished product to bottlers, retailers and restaurants. It makes money from concentrate sales, brand licensing and its bottling investments.
Forward P/E is lower than trailing — earnings are expected to grow into the price.
CAPEX & R&D — LAST 0 FISCAL YEARS (SEC FILINGS)
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TAM
SIZE
$1.1T global non-alcoholic beverages by 2030
CAGR
5%
Global non-alcoholic beverage retail value is roughly $1T and growing mid-single digits, driven by emerging-market per-capita consumption gains and premiumization in developed markets. Coke holds a leading global share of sparkling drinks, so growth comes mostly from price/mix, category expansion and share gains rather than a fast-growing pie.
RISK ASSESSMENT
HIGHealth and sugar regulation: soda taxes, labeling rules and GLP-1 weight-loss drugs could structurally pressure sparkling volumes.
MEDFX and emerging-market volatility — a large share of revenue is non-USD, so a strong dollar and macro weakness abroad hit reported results.
LOWBottler system and concentrate pricing friction; refranchising leaves limited direct control over distribution economics.
🐂 BULL
A high-margin, wide-moat brand franchise with 62% gross margins, 41% ROE and pricing power that keeps compounding revenue mid-single digits with reliable dividend growth.
🐻 BEAR
At 27.5x earnings and 23.9x EV/EBITDA the stock already prices in steady execution, leaving little cushion if volumes stay soft or sugar/GLP-1 headwinds bite.
EARNINGS
EPS · Q3 2026
Beat ✓
REVENUE
Miss
MANAGEMENT TONE
BearishBullish
🔗 IMPACT ON YOUR THESIS
Pricing power and premiumization support mid-single-digit organic growth
On Track→On Track
Price/mix again drove growth despite soft volumes
Volume resilience vs. health/GLP-1 headwinds
Watch→Watch
Unit case volume roughly flat; no clear inflection either way
Margin expansion from refranchised bottling model
Watch→On Track
Operating margin held near 33% on cost discipline
AI-powered data, computed by TreasureX · May contain inaccuracies
⚠️
All values, scores, and figures here are computed from your own assumptions and public data, for educational purposes only. This is not investment advice — TreasureX does not recommend buying or selling any security. Results change with your inputs. Please do your own research and use your own judgement before making any investment decision.