$PG PROCTER & GAMBLE Co — DCF Fair Value, Health Score & Thesis | TreasureX
$PG$165.89 ▼0.7%
Procter & Gamble Company
WHAT THEY DO
P&G sells everyday consumer staples like Tide detergent, Pampers diapers, Gillette razors, Crest toothpaste and Olay skincare to households worldwide, mainly through retailers like Walmart and Amazon. It makes money by building trusted brands, charging premium prices and selling huge volumes at high margins.
Forward P/E is lower than trailing — earnings are expected to grow into the price.
CAPEX & R&D — LAST 0 FISCAL YEARS (SEC FILINGS)
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TAM
SIZE
$650B by 2030
CAGR
3%
Global household and personal care is a very large but slow-growing market, expanding roughly in line with global GDP plus modest premiumization. Growth comes from emerging market penetration, premium product mix and price, not from category expansion in developed markets.
RISK ASSESSMENT
HIGVolume stagnation in developed markets and private-label share gains could force price rollbacks, compressing margins.
MEDInput cost and FX volatility, plus tariffs on imported components, pressure gross margins.
LOWBrand reputation or product-safety incidents in a single category could dent trust.
🐂 BULL
Best-in-class brand portfolio with 51% gross margins, 30% ROE and pricing power that has kept earnings growing even when volumes are flat. Defensive cash flows and a rising dividend make it a core holding in a late-cycle tape.
🐻 BEAR
Top-line growth of ~2% barely beats inflation, and at 25x earnings with a 15.8x EV/EBITDA the stock is priced for perfection. Any volume weakness or private-label pressure leaves little valuation cushion.
EARNINGS
EPS · Q1 FY2026
Beat ✓
REVENUE
Miss
MANAGEMENT TONE
BearishBullish
🔗 IMPACT ON YOUR THESIS
Premium brand portfolio supports pricing power
On Track→On Track
Price/mix again drove growth with margins holding
Volume growth in emerging markets
Watch→Watch
Organic volume still soft in a few categories
Margin expansion from productivity program
On Track→On Track
Cost savings offset input inflation
AI-powered data, computed by TreasureX · May contain inaccuracies
⚠️
All values, scores, and figures here are computed from your own assumptions and public data, for educational purposes only. This is not investment advice — TreasureX does not recommend buying or selling any security. Results change with your inputs. Please do your own research and use your own judgement before making any investment decision.