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$PLTR$154.99 ▼9.7%
Palantir Technologies Inc.
WHAT THEY DO
Palantir sells data-integration and AI software platforms (Foundry, Gotham, AIP) that let governments and large enterprises fuse messy data and run AI models on top of it. It makes money mainly from multi-year subscription and services contracts with defense/intelligence agencies and commercial customers.
💎 CONVERGENCE PLAY — in 3 themes
AI SoftwareDefense TechData Infrastructure
PRICE
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REVENUE MIX
Government54%
Commercial46%
COST
COGS15%
R&D14%
SG&A24%
Op Margin47%
FINANCIAL HEALTH
Reported through Sep 30, 2026
Figures are trailing twelve months (TTM) unless marked otherwise.
REVENUE
$7.3B
Growth
96%
QTR YOY
Gross M.
85%
P/E
109.1
EV/EBITDA
108.3
Net M.
50%
FCF M.
36%
D/E
0
LATEST QTR
Op M.
47%
PLUG INTO YOUR DCF
Historical growth
32.6%
Analyst 5y growth
—
Forward P/E
62.3
PEG ratio
1.60
Trailing EPS
$1.40
Forward EPS
$2.50
Multiple compressing
Forward P/E is lower than trailing — earnings are expected to grow into the price.
CAPEX & R&D — LAST 0 FISCAL YEARS (SEC FILINGS)
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TAM
SIZE
$400B+ by 2030
CAGR
20%
Palantir plays in the broad enterprise data/AI software and government analytics market, which most estimates size in the hundreds of billions by 2030. AI adoption is expanding the addressable pool quickly, but competition from hyperscalers and in-house builds caps realistic share.
RISK ASSESSMENT
HIGValuation is extreme at ~124x trailing earnings and ~158x EV/EBITDA; any growth deceleration could compress the multiple sharply.
MEDHeavy concentration in US government/defense contracts exposes revenue to budget cycles and political risk.
LOWStock-based compensation dilution and key-person dependence on leadership.
🐂 BULL
Revenue nearly doubled YoY with 85% gross and 47% operating margins, showing AIP is converting into a highly profitable, scalable software franchise.
🐻 BEAR
At 124x earnings and 158x EBITDA, the price already discounts years of flawless hyper-growth, leaving little margin of safety if growth normalizes.
EARNINGS
EPS · Q3 2026
Beat ✓
REVENUE
Beat ✓
MANAGEMENT TONE
BearishBullish
🔗 IMPACT ON YOUR THESIS
AIP-driven commercial expansion
Watch→On Track
Commercial growth accelerated, confirming AIP traction.
Margin durability at scale
Watch→On Track
Operating margin held near 47% despite rapid hiring.
Valuation vs. growth sustainability
Watch→Watch
Strong print but multiple remains stretched.
AI-powered data, computed by TreasureX · May contain inaccuracies
⚠️
All values, scores, and figures here are computed from your own assumptions and public data, for educational purposes only. This is not investment advice — TreasureX does not recommend buying or selling any security. Results change with your inputs. Please do your own research and use your own judgement before making any investment decision.