WHAT THEY DO
Qualcomm designs chips and licenses wireless technology. It sells Snapdragon processors for smartphones, cars and PCs, plus modem and RF chips, and earns royalties on 3G/4G/5G patents.
💎 CONVERGENCE PLAY — in 2 themes
Edge AIAI PCsAutomotive
FINANCIAL HEALTH
Reported through Sep 27, 2026
Figures are trailing twelve months (TTM) unless marked otherwise.
PLUG INTO YOUR DCF
Use in DCF →Multiple compressing
Forward P/E is lower than trailing — earnings are expected to grow into the price.
CAPEX & R&D — LAST 0 FISCAL YEARS (SEC FILINGS)
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TAM
Qualcomm sells into smartphones, autos, PCs and IoT, a combined addressable market of roughly $250B by 2030. Growth is driven by AI-capable devices, connected cars and on-device inference, though handset demand is mature and cyclical.
RISK ASSESSMENT
HIGApple and other customers are designing their own modems and in-house silicon, threatening Qualcomm's largest revenue stream.
MEDHeavy concentration in Chinese handset makers and exposure to US-China export controls and licensing disputes.
LOWDiversification into auto and IoT is still small relative to handsets, so near-term results stay cyclical.
🐂 BULL
Snapdragon X and on-device AI position Qualcomm to win premium Android and AI PC sockets, while auto design wins ramp and licensing provides high-margin cash to fund buybacks.
🐻 BEAR
Apple's modem transition and rising in-house silicon at Android OEMs erode the handset franchise, and licensing revenue faces legal and geopolitical risk with limited offset from smaller segments.
EARNINGS
MANAGEMENT TONE
BearishBullish
🔗 IMPACT ON YOUR THESIS
Snapdragon AI PC and premium Android share gainsWatch→On Track
Management cited strong AI PC and flagship Android demand
Automotive design-win pipeline converting to revenueWatch→On Track
Auto revenue grew double digits on new program ramps
Apple modem transition risk to handset revenueWatch→Watch
Guidance still assumes declining Apple modem contribution