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$TSLA$343.69 ▼10.8%
Tesla, Inc.
WHAT THEY DO
Tesla designs, manufactures and sells electric vehicles (Model 3/Y/S/X, Cybertruck), energy storage and solar products, and increasingly licenses software like Full Self-Driving and sells Optimus robots. It makes money mainly from vehicle sales, energy generation/storage, and services including Supercharging.
💎 CONVERGENCE PLAY — in 3 themes
Edge AIHumanoidEnergy Storage
PRICE
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REVENUE MIX
Automotive79%
Energy Generation & Storage11%
Services & Other10%
COST
COGS81%
R&D5%
SG&A6%
Op Margin5%
FINANCIAL HEALTH
Reported through Sep 30, 2026
Figures are trailing twelve months (TTM) unless marked otherwise.
REVENUE
$103.6B
Growth
0%
QTR YOY
Gross M.
19%
P/E
377.7
EV/EBITDA
135.2
Net M.
3%
FCF M.
5%
D/E
0.1
LATEST QTR
Op M.
5%
PLUG INTO YOUR DCF
Historical growth
24.6%
Analyst 5y growth
—
Forward P/E
159.2
PEG ratio
4.50
Trailing EPS
$0.90
Forward EPS
$2.20
Multiple compressing
Forward P/E is lower than trailing — earnings are expected to grow into the price.
CAPEX & R&D — LAST 0 FISCAL YEARS (SEC FILINGS)
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TAM
SIZE
$1.2T by 2035
CAGR
14%
Tesla plays in a huge but increasingly crowded EV market plus adjacent energy storage and autonomy/robotics markets. The bull TAM hinges on robotaxi and humanoid robots, which are unproven and years from material revenue.
RISK ASSESSMENT
HIGValuation is extreme: 346x trailing earnings and 132x EV/EBITDA price in robotaxi/Optimus success that may never materialize.
MEDEV demand slowdown and price cuts are compressing margins; gross margin at 19% and operating margin at 1% leave little cushion.
LOWKey-man and governance risk around CEO Elon Musk's divided attention and political exposure.
🐂 BULL
If robotaxi and Optimus scale, Tesla could become an AI/robotics platform worth multiples of today's price, with energy storage as a fast-growing second leg.
🐻 BEAR
Core auto margins are collapsing (1% operating margin) while the stock trades at a software-like multiple, leaving enormous downside if autonomy timelines slip.
EARNINGS
EPS · Q3 2026
Miss
REVENUE
Beat ✓
MANAGEMENT TONE
BearishBullish
🔗 IMPACT ON YOUR THESIS
Auto margin recovery
Watch→Watch
Margins stayed thin at 1% operating despite 26% revenue growth
Energy storage growth
On Track→On Track
Storage deployments continued to grow, supporting the bull case
Robotaxi/Optimus optionality
Watch→Watch
No material revenue yet; timeline still uncertain
AI-powered data, computed by TreasureX · May contain inaccuracies
⚠️
All values, scores, and figures here are computed from your own assumptions and public data, for educational purposes only. This is not investment advice — TreasureX does not recommend buying or selling any security. Results change with your inputs. Please do your own research and use your own judgement before making any investment decision.