WHAT THEY DO
Texas Instruments designs and sells analog chips, embedded processors and other semiconductors used in cars, industrial equipment, electronics and data centers. It makes money selling high-volume, long-life chips, mostly through distributors and direct customers.
💎 CONVERGENCE PLAY — in 2 themes
Analog & Embedded SemisEdge AIIndustrial Automation
FINANCIAL HEALTH
Reported through Sep 30, 2026
Figures are trailing twelve months (TTM) unless marked otherwise.
PLUG INTO YOUR DCF
Use in DCF →Multiple compressing
Forward P/E is lower than trailing — earnings are expected to grow into the price.
CAPEX & R&D — LAST 0 FISCAL YEARS (SEC FILINGS)
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TAM
Analog and embedded semis are a large, fragmented market growing with electrification, industrial automation and autos. TI is the largest analog player and is adding 300mm capacity to capture share as the cycle recovers.
RISK ASSESSMENT
HIGHeavy capex on new 300mm fabs could depress free cash flow and returns if demand disappoints
MEDCyclical industrial and auto demand swings drive sharp revenue and margin volatility
LOWChina competition and geopolitical/tariff exposure in a key end market
🐂 BULL
Revenue is reaccelerating 28% YoY with 60% gross and 48% operating margins, and the 300mm capacity build positions TI to take share as the analog cycle turns up.
🐻 BEAR
At 36x earnings and 24x EBITDA the stock already prices a strong recovery, while capex-heavy fabs and a cyclical industrial base leave little room for disappointment.
EARNINGS
MANAGEMENT TONE
BearishBullish
🔗 IMPACT ON YOUR THESIS
Analog cycle recovery driving 28% YoY growthWatch→On Track
Broad-based revenue beat confirms recovery
Free cash flow inflection as capex peaksWatch→Watch
Capex still elevated, FCF inflection not yet visible