WHAT THEY DO
Walmart is the world's largest retailer, operating supercenters, Sam's Club warehouse stores, and a fast-growing e-commerce marketplace. It makes money on thin retail margins across groceries, general merchandise, and health & wellness, increasingly supplemented by advertising, membership, and fulfillment services.
💎 CONVERGENCE PLAY — in 2 themes
Retail MediaE-commerce FulfillmentAutomation
FINANCIAL HEALTH
Reported through Jul 31, 2026
Figures are trailing twelve months (TTM) unless marked otherwise.
PLUG INTO YOUR DCF
Use in DCF →Multiple compressing
Forward P/E is lower than trailing — earnings are expected to grow into the price.
CAPEX & R&D — LAST 0 FISCAL YEARS (SEC FILINGS)
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TAM
SIZE
$6.5T global grocery & general merchandise by 2030
Walmart competes in the enormous but slow-growing global retail pool, where grocery is roughly half of sales. Growth upside comes less from the core TAM and more from adjacent high-margin pools like retail media, marketplace, and membership.
RISK ASSESSMENT
HIGPremium valuation (43x P/E, 23x EV/EBITDA) leaves little room for margin or traffic disappointment
MEDThin 3% operating margins are vulnerable to wage inflation, tariffs, and grocery price deflation
LOWAmazon and discount grocers pressuring share in e-commerce and consumables
🐂 BULL
Walmart is compounding revenue at ~6% while scaling high-margin advertising, membership, and marketplace income that should lift operating margins and EPS faster than sales. Defensive grocery mix and automation-driven cost savings make it a durable compounder.
🐻 BEAR
At 43x earnings and 23x EBITDA, the market already prices in years of margin expansion, so any slowdown in discretionary spend or ad growth could de-rate the stock sharply. Core retail economics remain razor-thin and highly wage- and tariff-sensitive.
EARNINGS
MANAGEMENT TONE
BearishBullish
🔗 IMPACT ON YOUR THESIS
Retail media and advertising scaling into a high-margin profit engineOn Track→On Track
Ad revenue growth remained strong, reinforcing margin mix shift
Automation and supply-chain investment driving operating leverageWatch→Watch
Cost savings progressing but wage pressure offsets some gains
Valuation support at 43x trailing earningsWatch→Watch
Solid quarter but multiple still rich versus history